The Definitive Guide To Throne Of Eldraine Draft Booster Packs -

Ever since Wizards of the Coast announced their Booster Fun project, there have been countless questions about both Collector and Draft Booster packs. Over the course of the past two months, I’ve tried to get information about the frequency of each card type appearing in each pack slot. The only official information received was this still from a WPN video:

Since there weren’t answers forthcoming from the official channels, I decided I’d number crunch everything myself, using the information from our own Star City Games pack opening! In this article I’ll present the odds I found to open any given card type in a Draft Booster pack.

Disclaimer: These are the odds I found through our own Draft Booster Box opening at SCG. They match up with the general odds in the Wizards graphic above. However, these are not official odds published by Wizards of the Coast. I do not guarantee that these are the actual odds in a Draft Booster pack of Throne of Eldraine. There’s always a chance that we got extraordinarily lucky/unlucky in opening packs, so these numbers may be off.

With that said, these are also probably the most accurate numbers out there!

What’s in a Draft Booster Pack?

In order to best express the odds of opening a given type of card in a pack, I broke down the types of cards into their base elements. These the different card types in a Throne of Eldraine Booster Pack:

Non-Foil

1. Basic Land

2. Common (Regular Frame, no Alternate Version exists)

3. Common (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

4. Uncommon (Regular Frame, no Alternate Version exists)

5. Uncommon (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

6. Uncommon (Adventure Frame, Alternate version)

7. Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists)

8. Rare (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

9. Rare (Adventure Frame, Alternate Version)

10. Mythic Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists)

11. Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version)

12. Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version)

Foil

1. Basic Land

2. Common (Regular Frame, no Alternate Version exists)

3. Common (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

4. Common (Adventure Frame, Alternate Version)

5. Uncommon (Regular Frame, no Alternate Version exists)

6. Uncommon (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

7. Uncommon (Adventure Frame, Alternate version)

8. Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists)

9. Rare (Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

10. Rare (Adventure Frame, Alternate Version)

11. Mythic Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists)

12. Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure Frame, Regular Version)

13. Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure Frame, Alternate Version)

Note that the one difference between Foil and Non-Foil cards is that Common Non-Foil Alternate Frame Adventure cards do not exist in Draft Booster packs, while foil versions do.

Let’s break down the odds by rarity!

Non-Foil Common (All Types)

Total number: 101 Commons
Number per pack: 10 Commons per pack
Odds of opening a specific Common in a pack: 9.9% (or roughly 1 in 10 packs)

Non-Foil Uncommon

Regular Frame, No Alternate Version exists: 51 Uncommons
Adventure Frame, Regular Version: 9 Uncommons
Adventure Frame, Alternate Version: 9 Uncommons

Adventure Frame, Regular Version Uncommons appear at a 2:1 ratio against Adventure Frame, Alternate Version Uncommons. For example, if you open 30 copies of any given Uncommon Adventure, 20 of them will be Regular, and 10 will be Alternate.

Number per pack: 3 Uncommons per pack

If you were going to open one of each Uncommon (all types), you’d need to open 243 Uncommons (or 81 packs’ worth). This is 3.05x 71 Regular Uncommons, 2x 9 Adventure Regular Frame Uncommon, and 1x 9 Alternate Frame Uncommons.

Odds of opening any Regular Frame, No Alternate Version exists Uncommon: 2.6 per pack
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Uncommon (Regular Version): 1 in 4.5 packs
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Uncommon (Alternate Version): 1 in 9 packs
Odds of opening a specific Regular Frame, No Alternate Version exists Uncommon: 1 in 27 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame, Regular Version Uncommon: 1 in 40.5 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame, Alternate Version Uncommon: 1 in 81 packs

Non-Foil Rares and Mythics

A normal Magic print sheet has 121 cards. This is why most sets are 53 Rares / 15 Mythics – each Rare is printed twice on the sheet and each Mythic once (53 + 53 + 15 = 121). We can throw that right out the window for this set:

Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists): 48 Rares
Rare (Adventure Frame, Regular Version): 5 Rares
Rare (Adventure Frame, Alternate Version): 5 Rares
Mythic Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists): 10 Mythic Rares
Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 5 Mythic Rares
Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 5 Mythic Rares

Here are the odds that we found when we opened packs! Disclaimer, one more time: These are not the Wizards of the Coast official odds!

Odds of opening any Rare (Regular): 1 in 1.3 packs
Odds of opening any Rare (Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 12.5 packs
Odds of opening any Rare (Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 32 packs
Odds of opening any Mythic Rare (Regular): 1 in 12.5 packs
Odds of opening any Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 25 packs
Odds of opening any Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 175 packs
Odds of opening a specific Rare (Regular): 1 in 62.4 packs
Odds of opening a specific Rare (Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 62.5 packs
Odds of opening a specific Rare (Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 160 packs
Odds of opening a specific Mythic Rare (Regular): 1 in 125 packs
Odds of opening a specific Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 125 packs
Odds of opening a specific Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 875 packs

Notes: Regular Frame Rare Adventures appear at about a 2.5:1 ratio to Alternate Frame Rare Adventures. Regular Frame Mythic Adventures/Planeswalkers appear at about a 7:1 ratio to Alternate Frame Mythic Adventures/Planeswalkers.

And now, let’s take a look at foils!

Foil Basic Land

Total Number: 20 Basic Lands
Odds of opening any Foil Basic Land: 1 in 36 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Basic Land: 1 in 720 packs

Regular Frame, No Alternate Version exists: 87 Commons
Adventure, Regular Version: 14 Commons
Adventure, Alternate Frame: 14 Commons
Odds of opening any Regular Frame, No Alternate Version Foil Common: 1 in 8 packs
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Foil Common (Regular Version): 1 in 52 packs
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Foil Common (Alternate Version): 1 per 60 packs
Odds of opening a specific Regular Frame, No Alternate Version Foil Common: 1 in 696 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame Foil Common (Regular Version): 1 per 728 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame Foil Common (Alternate Version): 1 per 840 packs

Notes: The odds of opening Common Adventure cards are close enough to be even for the Regular Frame and Adventure Frame. I’d say that, statistically speaking, there shouldn’t be a difference in value based on scarcity between them.

Foil Uncommons

Regular Frame, No Alternate Version exists: 71 Uncommons
Adventure, Regular Version: 9 Uncommons
Adventure, Alternate Frame: 9 Uncommons
Odds of opening any Regular Frame, No Alternate Version Foil Uncommon: 1 in 13.5 packs
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Foil Uncommon (Regular Version): 1 in 107 packs
Odds of opening any Adventure Frame Foil Uncommon (Alternate Version): 1 in 220 packs
Odds of opening a specific Regular Frame, No Alternate Version Foil Uncommon: 1 in 959 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame Foil Uncommon (Regular Version): 1 in 963 packs
Odds of opening a specific Adventure Frame Foil Uncommon (Alternate Version): 1 per 1980 packs

Notes: Regular Frame/No Alternate Version Foil Uncommons and Adventure Frame (Regular Version) Foil Uncommons are equally rare. Alternate Frame Uncommon Foil Adventures are twice as rare as Regular Frame Uncommon Foil Adventures.

Foil Rares and Mythics

Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists): 48 Rares
Rare (Adventure Frame, Regular Version): 5 Rares
Rare (Adventure Frame, Alternate Version): 5 Rares
Mythic Rare (Regular Frame, no Draft Booster Pack Alternate Version exists): 10 Mythic Rares
Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 5 Mythic Rares
Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 5 Mythic Rares
Odds of opening any Foil Rare (Regular): 1 in 23 packs
Odds of opening any Foil Rare (Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 222 packs
Odds of opening any Foil Rare (Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 160 packs
Odds of opening any Foil Mythic Rare (Regular): 1 in 211 packs
Odds of opening any Foil Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 423 packs
Odds of opening any Foil Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 940 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Rare (Regular): 1 in 1104 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Rare (Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 1110 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Rare (Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 800 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Mythic Rare (Regular): 1 in 2110 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Regular Version): 1 in 2115 packs
Odds of opening a specific Foil Mythic Rare (Planeswalker or Adventure, Alternate Version): 1 in 4375 packs

Notes: So, here’s where the fun begins. The Alternate Frame Rare Foil Adventures are actually more common than the Regular Frame Rare Foil Adventures! The ratio is about 1.3 to 1. For every 13 Alternate Frame Foil Murderous Riders out there, you’d have 10 Regular Frame Foil Murderous Riders! The Foil Rare slot is the only slot where the Alternate Frame card is more common than the Regular Frame card! Foil Alternate Mythic Rares are about twice as rare as Regular Planeswalker/Adventure Foil Mythic Rares.

Final Thoughts

I’m always astounded by the disparity between price and actual rarity (the number of packs it takes to open) on higher-end foil cards. For instance, let’s look at The Royal Scions.

Odds of Finding The Royal Scions

Non-Foil, Regular Version: 1 in 125 packs (approximately 3.5 booster boxes)
Non-Foil, Alternate Version: 1 in 875 packs (approximately 24 booster boxes)
Foil, Regular Version: 1 in 2115 packs (approximately 58.75 booster boxes)
Foil, Alternate Version: 1 in 4375 packs (approximately 121.5 Booster Boxes)

Current SCG Pricing

Non-Foil, Regular Version: $10
Non-Foil, Alternate Version: $25
Foil, Regular Version: $25
Foil, Alternate Version: $70

Now, if we took the base version ($10) and multiplied it by the actual rarity in relation to the base version, here’s where things would be:

Non-Foil, Regular Version: $10
Non-Foil, Alternate Version: $68.57
Foil, Regular Version: $167.85
Foil, Alternate Version: $347.14

There are other factors, like the ones that come in Collector Packs potentially skewing the value. What price disparities like this tell me is that the demand on foils is extremely proportionally low compared to the supply – and that’s an article I’d love to write for another day!

Until then, I hope that you found this article helpful in breaking down the frequency at which every card shows up in Draft Booster Packs in Throne of Eldraine!

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